Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.001418 0.001510 0.001604 0.001709 0.001822 0.001940 0.002073
2024-10-20 0.001268 0.001391 0.001522 0.001673 0.001843 0.002027 0.002243
2024-10-27 0.001175 0.001320 0.001479 0.001668 0.001885 0.002130 0.002427
2024-11-03 0.001071 0.001226 0.001400 0.001612 0.001862 0.002151 0.002511
2024-11-10 0.001024 0.001192 0.001386 0.001626 0.001917 0.002260 0.002700
2024-11-17 0.000968 0.001145 0.001351 0.001611 0.001933 0.002321 0.002830
2024-11-24 0.000935 0.001121 0.001342 0.001625 0.001983 0.002424 0.003014
2024-12-01 0.000885 0.001073 0.001300 0.001597 0.001977 0.002453 0.003104
2024-12-08 0.000846 0.001038 0.001272 0.001582 0.001986 0.002501 0.003218
2024-12-15 0.000813 0.001007 0.001248 0.001571 0.001998 0.002551 0.003336
2024-12-22 0.000787 0.000985 0.001233 0.001570 0.002023 0.002619 0.003478
2024-12-29 0.000758 0.000957 0.001210 0.001557 0.002029 0.002661 0.003586
2025-01-05 0.000732 0.000935 0.001195 0.001557 0.002059 0.002740 0.003760
2025-01-12 0.000696 0.000897 0.001158 0.001526 0.002043 0.002757 0.003844
2025-01-19 0.000672 0.000875 0.001140 0.001521 0.002064 0.002825 0.004006
2025-01-26 0.000633 0.000831 0.001093 0.001472 0.002018 0.002795 0.004019
2025-02-02 0.000620 0.000820 0.001089 0.001484 0.002062 0.002896 0.004235
2025-02-09 0.000598 0.000798 0.001069 0.001471 0.002066 0.002939 0.004362
2025-02-16 0.000586 0.000789 0.001067 0.001484 0.002110 0.003042 0.004590
2025-02-23 0.000563 0.000763 0.001039 0.001458 0.002094 0.003053 0.004669
2025-03-02 0.000544 0.000743 0.001021 0.001445 0.002097 0.003092 0.004795
2025-03-09 0.000528 0.000726 0.001005 0.001435 0.002103 0.003137 0.004933
2025-03-16 0.000516 0.000714 0.000995 0.001434 0.002124 0.003205 0.005113